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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
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李培林
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    2020年全球能源新格局下美国中亚能源战略的调整

    摘要

    近十年以来,美国成功崛起为世界油气生产大国和能源净出口国,引发全球能源供需格局巨变。与此同时,由于应对气候变化的紧迫性和重要性得到普遍认可,全球能源转型步伐不断加快。特朗普政府上台之后,美国国际能源战略由追求“能源独立”向寻求“能源主导”转变,能源作为美国外交政策工具的特征越发凸显。当前,美国中亚能源战略更加致力于以能源外交手段实现地缘政治目标。与以往相比,美国更强调以企业技术和私人资本援助的方式,在中亚国家推广新能源低成本发电。同时,美国也继续鼓励中亚国家油气出口的多元化,但其重心已由力推TAPI管道项目向支持跨里海天然气管道建设回归。此外,美国能源外交与水外交正在中亚加速融合,推行能源—粮食—水纽带关联的治理模式已成为美中亚能源战略的重要组成部分。

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    Abstract

    In the past decade,the United States has successfully emerged as the world’s largest oil and gas producer and net energy exporter,which triggered a dramatic change in the global energy supply and demand pattern. At the same time,the pace of global energy transformation was accelerating due to the universal recognition of the urgency and importance of addressing climate change. After the Trump administration took office,the U.S. international energy strategy changed from pursuing of “energy independence” to pursuing of “energy-led”. The characteristics of energy as a tool of U.S. foreign policy are becoming more prominent. At present,the U.S.energy strategy in Central Asia is more committed to achieving geopolitical goals through energy diplomacy. Compared with the past,the United States has placed more emphasis on promoting low-cost new energy to generate electricity in Central Asian countries through corporate technology and private capital assistance. Simultaneously,the United States continues to encourage the diversification of oil and gas exports from Central Asian countries,but its focus has shifted from pushing the TAPI pipeline project to supporting the construction of the trans Caspian sea gas pipeline. In addition,U.S. energy diplomacy and water diplomacy are accelerating the integration in Central Asia,and the implementation of the governance model of energy food water linkage has become an important part of the US Central Asia energy strategy.

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    作者简介
    曹嘉涵:曹嘉涵,上海国际问题研究院俄罗斯中亚研究中心助理研究员。
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