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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
蔡 昉
    中国社会科学院国家高端智库首席专家,学部委员,学部主席团秘书长,研究员,博士生导师。先后毕业于中国人民大学、中国... 详情>>
李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    2020年新冠肺炎疫情影响下的中亚地区经济形势

    摘要

    疫情给各国经济都带来巨大冲击。经济增速普遍下降,吉哈两国呈现负增长。失业率上升,外债骤增,外贸大幅下降,本币贬值,侨汇收入减少。但在困境中不乏亮点,农业和建筑业等增长迅速。由于疫情严峻,各国将谋发展让位于抗疫情、保稳定,具体领域的战略规划减少。但地区大国希望将疫情变成“机会之窗”,加速数字经济发展,拓展新经济空间。在抗疫和经济复苏中,中亚国家将国际金融机构视为最主要的融资来源,对外合作呈现新态势。

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    Abstract

    COVID-19 epidemic has brought great impact on the economies of all countries. Economic growth has generally declined,with negative growth in Kyrgyzstan and Kazakhstan. Unemployment has risen,foreign debts have soared,foreign trade has fallen sharply,the local currency has depreciated,and overseas remittance income has decreased. However,there are bright spots in the predicament,with the rapid growth in agriculture and construction industry. Due to the severe epidemic situation,instead of seeking development,countries have given way to anti-epidemic,maintaining stability,and reduced strategic planning in specific areas. Contrariwise,regional powers hope to turn the outbreak into a window of opportunity to accelerate the digital economic development and expand new economic space. In the process of anti-epidemic and economic recovery,Central Asian countries regard the international financial institutions as the main source of financing,and foreign cooperation presents a new trend.

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    作者简介
    李自国:李自国,中国国际问题研究院欧亚研究所所长。
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