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    2017~2020年中拉共建“一带一路”:现状与未来

    摘要

    拉美是中国“一带一路”国际合作不可或缺的重要参与方和现实共建方。自2017年正式启动合作以来,中拉共建“一带一路”合作已经取得扎实推进,“一带一路”倡议的地区认同不断上升,中拉多边和双边层面的制度环境逐步优化,在贸易和投资便利化领域产生早期收获,并推动了中拉全面合作日益深化。当前,拉美正处于“新发展陷阱”之中,对来自中国的贸易、投资、金融和基础设施合作具有较高需求,而该地区也具有承载中国商品和资本“走出去”以及人民币国际化等重大战略的基础,“一带一路”合作契合中拉共同发展需要。拉美地区的近期调整为中拉深化合作提供了有利条件,但双方共建“一带一路”还面临着一系列内外部制约。为此,中拉双方应加强交流,创新合作前沿,并对共建“一带一路”合作能产生的风险对冲价值予以新评估,最大化合作的共同利益。

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    Abstract

    Latin America is an indispensable major participant and practical contributor to China’s international cooperation on the “Belt and Road”. Since the official launch in 2017,China-Latin America cooperation under the framework of the “Belt and Road” Initiative has made solid progress. With rising regional recognition of the “Belt and Road” Initiative,the institutional environment at multilateral and bilateral levels is improving. Early gains have been achieved in the field of trade and investment facilitation while promoting the deepening of comprehensive cooperation between the two sides. At present,caught in new development traps,Latin America has high demand for trade,investment,finance and infrastructure cooperation with China. Meanwhile,it serves as a carrier for China’s major strategies such as going abroad of Chinese goods and capital and the internationalization of the renminbi. Therefore,the “Belt and Road” cooperation meets the common development needs of China and Latin America. The recent adjustments in Latin America have provided favorable conditions for the two sides to deepen cooperation,but there are still a series of internal and external constraints in the joint construction of the “Belt and Road”. To this end,China and Latin America should strengthen exchanges,explore new frontiers of cooperation,and make new assessments of value at risk hedged by the “Belt and Road” cooperation to maximize the common benefits of cooperation.

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    作者简介
    岳云霞:岳云霞,经济学博士,中国社会科学院拉丁美洲研究所研究员、经济研究室主任,主要研究方向为拉美经济、国际贸易与投资。
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