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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
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李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    2019~2020年中国与“一带一路”共建国家的贸易合作

    摘要

    2019~2020年,受地缘政治冲击和新冠疫情的影响,全球贸易总量和规模连续两年萎缩和减少。在这一背景下,2019年和2020年中国与“一带一路”的贸易合作交出了逆势增长的亮丽成绩单。中国与“一带一路”共建国家的贸易紧密度进一步上升,相互成为对方更重要的贸易伙伴国。从区域格局看,在中国的所有“一带一路”贸易伙伴中,东南亚与中国的贸易紧密度实现跨越式发展。东盟超过美国,成为中国最大的贸易伙伴,并推动RCEP在2020年底正式签署。中国与“一带一路”共建国家贸易关系更加密切,还隐含着国际分工和全球产业链重组的意义。基于中国巨大市场和巨大产能的国际分工格局正在获得更加独立的地位,并为“一带一路”共建国家提供了巨大的可能性。特别是在新冠疫情冲击下,中国与“一带一路”共建国家的贸易关系为共同抗击疫情提供了医疗物资、防护用品和生活必需品方面的保障。中欧班列成为抗疫的“生命线”。中国与“一带一路”国家贸易关系中快速发展的跨境电商等数字化趋势、绿色环保等可持续发展以及在产业链供应链方面更加安全、坚韧的分工合作关系,为世界经济的稳定发展提供了新的可能和方向。

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    Abstract

    In 2019-2020,affected by geopolitical shocks and Covid-19,the total volume and scale of global trade has shrunk for two consecutive years. It is in this context that China’s trade cooperation with the “Belt and Road” countries grew against the trend in 2019 and 2020. As the tightness of trade is further increased,China and the “Belt and Road” countries have become more important trading partners to each other. In terms of regional structure,the tightness of trade with ASEAN has increased by bounds and leads,enabling ASEAN to replace the United States as China’s largest trading partner and facilitating the official signing of Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) at the end of 2020. The closer trade relationship between China and the “Belt and Road” countries also implies the reorganization of the international division of labor and the global industrial chain. The international division of labor based on China’s massive market and huge production capacity is gaining a more independent position,and creating great possibilities for the “Belt and Road” countries. Especially in the joint fight against Covid-19,China’s trade relations with the “Belt and Road” countries provide guarantees in terms of medical supplies,protective equipment and daily necessities. The China-Europe Railway Express has become the “lifeline” for combating Covid-19. In addition,digital trends such as the rapid development of cross-border e-commerce,sustainable development such as green development and environmental protection,and safer and more robust division of labor and cooperation in the industrial chain and supply chain,open up new possibilities and directions for the stable development of the world economy.

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    作者简介
    徐坡岭:徐坡岭,中国社会科学院“一带一路”研究中心副主任,中国社会科学院俄罗斯东欧中亚研究所研究员。
    赵亮:赵亮,中国社会科学院大学国际关系学院世界经济专业博士研究生。
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