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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
蔡 昉
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李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    俄罗斯2020年内外政策与中俄关系新发展

    摘要

    2020年俄罗斯对内政外交做了一系列重大调整,目的是摆脱不利的处境,尽快走出危机,在国际大变局中寻求新的发展机遇。通过修改宪法,俄总统普京开始提前为未来的总统选举和权力体系调整布局,赢得主动,保持了俄罗斯社会政治形势的稳定。但是,严重的新冠肺炎疫情和周边爆发的政治及安全危机,对俄罗斯的发展和稳定也构成巨大挑战,经济滑坡、失业和贫困等社会问题趋于严重,俄不得不调整本国的长期发展目标。新的目标显然更加符合疫情后经济发展的实际情况,而且注意到了经济和社会发展的协调统一。未来俄的经济和社会形势可能会更加严峻,面临不少现实的困难。虽然俄在外交上一如既往地展现出进取的态势,但俄与美欧的关系没有得到改善,外部的地缘政治压力进一步增大。周边发生的动乱和冲突,消耗了俄罗斯大量的外交资源,使其国际处境进一步恶化。在困难的条件下,中俄关系继续保持良好发展势头,两国领导人积极引领,经贸合作保持平稳,在国际舞台上彼此呼应,体现了高水平的新时代中俄全面战略协作伙伴关系。

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    Abstract

    In 2020,Russia has made major adjustments to its domestic and foreign policies,with the aim of getting out of crisis as soon as possible,and seeking new development opportunities amidst international changes. By amending the constitution,President Putin has began to make overall arrangement for the future presidential elections and power system adjustments in advance,which wins the initiative and maintains the stability of the social and political situation. However,the severe epidemic and the surrounding political and security crises have also posed huge challenges to Russia’s development and stability. The social problems such as economic decline,unemployment and poverty become more serious,and the country’s long-term development goals have to be adjusted. The new goal is obviously more in line with the post-epidemic situation and it also pays attention to the coordination of the economic and social development. The future economic and social situation may face many practical difficulties. For instance,its relationship with the United States and Europe has not been improved,and the external geopolitical pressure has been worsened. The turmoil and conflicts in the surrounding areas have consumed a lot of Russia’s diplomatic resources,which has made the international situation further deteriorated. Under difficult conditions,China-Russia relations continue to maintain a good momentum. The leaders of the two countries have made active interactions,and the economic and trade cooperation has remained stable. The two countries have echoed each other on the international stage,reflecting the high level of comprehensive strategic cooperation in the new era.

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    作者简介
    孙壮志:孙壮志,中国社会科学院俄罗斯东欧中亚研究所所长,研究员。
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