随着超大城市规模不断扩大、要素不断聚焦,面临风险的不确定性也不断增加。提升超大城市面对灾害等不确定因素的抵御力、适应力和响应力,需要对超大城市的防灾减灾能力进行前置评估。本报告构建了超大城市防灾减灾能力评价体系,结合文献分析和实际访谈调研,选取8类指标,采用加权评价法,对北京市16个区的防灾减灾能力进行评价,以期为超大城市提升防灾减灾能力提供借鉴和参考。研究结果表明,综合评价得分较高的是密云区、怀柔区和平谷区,较低的是朝阳区、海淀区和西城区。
<<As megacity continue to expand in scale and focus their elements,the uncertainty of risks is also increasing. To enhance the resilience,adaptability and responsiveness of megacity to disasters,the disaster prevention and mitigation capacity of megacity needs to be assessed antecedently under the concept of ecological civilization. By constructing an evaluation system of disaster prevention and mitigation capacity of megacity,combined with literature analysis and actual interview research,the study selects eight categories of indicators and adopted a weighted evaluation method to evaluate disaster prevention and mitigation capacity of sixteen districts in Beijing,in order to provide reference for megacity to improve disaster prevention and mitigation capacity. The results of the study show that,the higher overall evaluation scores are in Miyun District,Huairou District and Pinggu District,and the lower scores are in Chaoyang District,Haidian District and Xicheng District.
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