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    经济偏热和物价上涨双重压力下的货币运行

    摘要

    2007年货币信贷运行的宏观经济环境表现出以下几个特点:经济运行加快,出现偏热现象;通货膨胀压力显现;资产价格双膨胀。在这种环境下货币信贷运行的情况是:货币供应量快速增长,加剧物价上涨压力;各项存款增速总体趋缓,企业存款和储蓄存款增长两极分化现象严重;基础货币增长加快;超储率总体趋于下降;人民币对美元持续升值,外汇储备持续攀升;货币市场利率地位波动。针对货币运行的现状,货币政策的工具选择应该把国内调控放在突出位置,继续保持多管齐下、量价并用的货币政策调控取向,进一步推进国内实体经济面的改善和配套改革,加快货币信贷统计制度的创新。

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    Abstract

    The macro-economy of monetary credit in 2007 shows that:economic operation is turning faster,the pressure of inflation is emerging,assets price is inflating. Therefore the status of monetary credit operation is:the amount of monetary supply is increasing rapidly,which strengthens the pressure of inflation;various savings deposit increase slowly and the gap between savings deposit of enterprises and savings deposit of residents is widening;base money is increasing fast;the excess reserve ratio is generally falling;the exchange rate of RMB to US dollars is continuously appreciating which resulting in the increase of foreign exchange reserves;and monetary market is fluctuating. Since 2007,the central bank of China has improved the foresight of adjustment and controlling of currency policy and adopted a series of integrated measures to increase the strength of financial adjustment. According to the condition of monetary operation,monetary policy should emphasize the domestic adjustment and stick to the orientation of making full range use of policy tools to promote the reform of domestic entity economy. It is necessary to accelerate the innovation of monetary credit statistical system.

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    作者简介
    陈浩:作者单位为中国人民银行。
    章丽盛:作者单位:中国人民银行。
    王毅:王毅,澳大利亚格里菲斯大学亚洲研究所研究员、语言学院中英语言及翻译专业主任、博士生导师,博士,主要研究领域为国际关系、国际媒体及管理、语言与翻译、澳中关系、澳大利亚对外政策等。
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