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    当前财政经济运行情况与财政政策选择

    摘要

    2007年1~8月,中国财政经济运行的特点是:流转税增速比较平稳,所得税和小税种增速较快;重点支出增长较快,公共财政特征进一步凸显。从近期的走势判断,供给的推动作用、需求的拉动作用均较强,体制的潜能继续释放。当前经济运行中有几个值得关注的问题:经济运行由偏快转向过热的风险仍然存在;资产价格不稳定问题突出;农民增收难度加大;财政调控压力进一步加大。下一步财政政策选择的总体思路是:合理把握财政政策力度,防止经济由偏快转向过热;引导经济结构调整;改善民生问题;提供机制保障。

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    Abstract

    The characters of China’s fiscal and economic operation from January to August 2007 are as follows:the increase of turnover tax is relatively balanced,the increase of income tax and small tax are relatively faster;key payout is increasing fast;public fiscal characters are becoming more obvious. According to current trends,the roles of supply and demand are quite strong,the system’s potential is releasing continuously. There are some issues that should be focused on:economic operation is turning overheated;the price of assets is unstable;it is difficult for peasants to increase their incomes;and the pressure of fiscal adjustment is increasing. The general choices of fiscal policy in the future should be:maintain the proper strength of fiscal policies to prevent economy from turning overheated,strengthen the regulative role of tax policy to guide economic structure adjustment,strengthen the adjustment of expenditure structure to improve the people’s livelihood,and strongly promote reform to provide institutional guarantee.

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    作者简介
    杨远根:财政部政策规划司。
    赵倩:本文作者单位皆系财政部综合司。
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