2007年,物价上涨影响了消费市场的实际增长速度,消费市场对GDP增长的贡献较小,低于2006年的水平。农村市场发展加速,但在整个消费市场所占比例与其人口比例不协调。2007年已有过热苗头的经济将在2008年逐渐“软着陆”。2008年,粮食供应可维持“紧平衡”,猪肉供应偏紧的状况将得到较大缓解,一些非物质的消费服务价格有可能上扬,饮食、家居和与此相关的领域、汽车、通讯、金银首饰、休闲、文化娱乐等类的商品和服务将依然占据重要位置;农村消费者的消费意向将进一步向“都市化”看齐。
<<In 2007,the increase of price level influenced the actual growth of consumption market. The contribution of consumption to GDP growth became less than that in 2006. The development of rural market accelerated though the share did not reflect its population proportion. In 2008,China’s optimized structure,prudent monetary policy and flexible fiscal policy will gradually “soft landing” the economy,which had been regarded as “over heated” in 2007. In 2008,the food supply will be elementary balanced,as well as the pork supply. But the price for nonmaterial consumption will perhaps increase;the catering,housing,and their related industries,such as auto,communications,jewelry,leisure,and entertainments will continue to play the essential roles;the propensity to consume of the rural consumers will grow closer to the level of “urbanization”.
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