2007年我国经济继续高速增长,资产价格继续迅速增长,GDP同比增速达11。5%。过快上涨的资产价格和热钱流动的不可琢磨性,以及汇率改革对实体经济作用效果的逐渐释放,使2008年经济不确定性因素增加。2008年我国宏观经济面临的不确定性因素主要有二:一是国内资产价格的波动,包括股票价格与房地产价格;二是美国的次级贷款问题蔓延和美国经济增长减速对中国的潜在影响。
<<In 2007,China’s economy experienced high speed development,as well as in the capital price,and GDP was with a year-on-year growth of 11.5%. As the over-speeded increase of capital price and unpredictable hot money flow,also with the effect of exchange rate reform on entity economy released gradually,all of these result in an unpredictable economic development in 2008. There will be two major factors need to be concerned. Firstly,the fluctuation of domestic capital price,including securities and real estate prices;secondly,the spread of US Subprime Mortgage problem and the potential influences of speed-down US economic growth.
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