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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
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李培林
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    “中国经济形势分析与预测——2007年秋季座谈会”综述

    摘要

    这是该课题组自1990年成立以来召开的第34次座谈会。与会者对当前经济形势及2008年经济走势的基本判断比较一致;如何认识当前的物价问题有两种意见,一是认为CPI的上涨是经济取向过热的信号,一是认为物价上涨是部分食品涨价导致的结构性上涨;对资产价格问题有两种意见,一是认为有股市和房地产泡沫的隐忧,一是认为还很难确定中国股市已经出现泡沫。不少专家对当前经济形势及总供求关系、三大需求状况及国民经济供给能力进行了分析,对2008年的经济走势进行了分析,并提出了宏观调控的政策建议。

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    Abstract

    This is the 34th such kind of forum held by the research team since its establishment in 1990. The basic judgment on the current economic situation and economic trend in 2008 is relatively consistent. There are two views on how to realize the current prices:one is that the economy tends to overheat,the other is that it is not yet determined. And there are also two views on prices of asset,the first think there is bubble,the other think it is still difficult to conclude that bubble has been in China’s stock market. As to the current economic situation and the relationship between overall supply and demand,there are two perspectives—overheating and not overheating. Many experts respectively analyzed China’s three major demands,the national economy’s supply capacity,and economic trends in 2008 from different angles,suggestions on macroeconomic regulation were also given.

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    作者简介
    赵京兴:中国社会科学院数量经济与技术经济研究所研究员。
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