“十三五”以来,上海在气候变化适应能力提升方面做出巨大努力,全面规划部署气候变化应对和节能减排工作,加强城市排水、交通基础设施建设,推进产业结构、能源结构转型发展,提升大气、水环境质量,优化城市生态空间格局,支持气候变化关键技术研发。然而,基于长三角城市气候变化适应能力指标体系的分析结果表明,尽管上海气候变化适应能力在长三角城市中总体处于高水平,但在生态环境、脆弱产业和人群方面存在劣势。上海经济社会综合实力在长三角城市中最强,为上海应对气候变化灾害提供基础设施、医疗资源、人力资本等方面的支持;但森林覆盖率低、人口密度高、工业污染排放密度高,生态环境质量在长三角城市群中处于较低水平,对应对气候变化能力造成负面影响;与此同时,交通业和农业等脆弱产业、失业和老幼等脆弱人群也是上海气候变化适应能力的短板。上海气候变化适应能力的提升,需要针对城市脆弱产业人口环节,降低气候灾害敏感性;进一步引导产业转型升级,促进生态环境质量提升;推进区域间气候变化应对协作机制建立;大力支持应对气候变化关键技术研究;全面完善气候变化适应战略规划,力争早日实现碳达峰、碳中和目标。
<<Since the 13th Five-Year Plan,Shanghai has made great efforts in improving its adaptability to climate change. It has comprehensively planned and deployed climate change response,energy conservation and emission reduction,strengthened the construction of urban drainage and transportation infrastructure,promoted the trasition development of industrial structure and energy structure,improved the quality of atmospheric and water environment,optimized the urban ecological space pattern,and supported the research and development of key technologies for climate change. However,the results of exploratory factor analysis based on the indicators of urban climate change adaptability in the Yangtze River Delta show that although Shanghai has a high score on climate change adaptability,the score variance of various factors of climate change adaptability is large. Shanghai’s economic security factor score is the highest among the cities in the Yangtze River Delta,but the industrial and employment factor and ecological environment factor are all at a low level. The vulnerable industries such as transportation and agriculture,the vulnerable groups such as unemployment and children,and the quality of ecological environment are the short boards of Shanghai’s adaptability to climate change. In order to improve the adaptability of Shanghai to climate change,it is urgent to reduce the sensitivity of vulnerable industries and population to climate disasters;further guide the industrial transformation and upgrading to improve the quality of the ecological environment;promote the establishment of regional cooperation mechanism for climate change adaptability;vigorously support the research on key technologies of climate change;comprehensively improve the strategic planning of climate change adaptation to achieve the goal of carbon peak and carbon neutralization.
<<Keywords: | Exploratory Factor AnalysisAdaptability To Climate ChangeSocial and Economic FactorEcological and Environment Factor |