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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
蔡 昉
    中国社会科学院国家高端智库首席专家,学部委员,学部主席团秘书长,研究员,博士生导师。先后毕业于中国人民大学、中国... 详情>>
李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    2020年中国农业农村经济形势分析及2021年展望

    摘要

    2020年,中国农业农村经济克服新冠肺炎疫情等不利因素影响,恢复快,发展取得进展,运行总体平稳;脱贫攻坚任务全面完成;农业农村投入明显加大,农村生产生活条件明显改善;第一产业稳定增长,农产品国际贸易逆差大幅度扩大,主要农产品供给普遍增加,但农产品及食品价格较大幅度上涨,不同农产品市场运行状况存在明显差异。展望2021年,农业农村投入继续保持较快增长,脱贫攻坚成果将持续巩固拓展,粮食安全保障水平将上新的台阶,城乡居民收入差距进一步缩小。预测2021年粮食总产量6。8亿吨,猪肉产量5000万吨,农民人均可支配收入1。9万元。 <<
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    Abstract

    In 2020,with the effective prevention and control of COVID-19,China has rapidly restored its agricultural and rural economy and made progress in development,operating smoothly on the whole. With the remaining 5.51 million rural poor people being lifted out of poverty,the key task of poverty alleviation was fully completed. Investments in agriculture and rural areas have markedly increased,and rural production and living conditions have improved significantly. The primary industry grew steadily,the international trade deficit of agricultural products expanded significantly,and the supply of main agricultural products increased generally. However,affected by food consumption upgrade,the prices of agricultural products and food increased significantly,and there were obvious differences in market operation of different agricultural products. Domestic grain production has increased,imports have expanded on a large scale,and grain prices remained stable. With the accelerated recovery of pig production capacity,the total supply of pork increased,and the rise of pig producer prices fell. With the rapid increase of farmers’ income,the absolute and relative income gaps between urban and rural residents narrowed,and farmers’ food consumption expenditure increased largely. In 2021,investments in agriculture and rural areas are expected to maintain rapid growth. China will continue to consolidate and expand the achievements of poverty alleviation,and the level of food security will reach a new level. The income gap between urban and rural residents is expected to narrow further in the future. It is predicted that in 2021,the total grain output will reach 680 million tons,the pork output will reach 50 million tons,and farmers’ per capita disposable income will possibly reach 19000 Yuan.

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    作者简介
    总报告课题组:执笔人:李国祥,博士,中国社会科学院农村发展研究所研究员、食物经济研究室主任、博士生导师。本报告仅代表课题组观点,主要是执笔人观点,与课题组成员所属机构及研究资料来源部门无关。本报告审定:魏后凯。
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