2020年上半年,受新冠肺炎疫情冲击,我国经济下行压力进一步增大。为支持重点项目复工复产,山东省地方债发行规模大幅提升,其中项目收益专项债发行规模远超2019年全年,居全国第二位,对基建投资的撬动规模较大。目前山东省政府债务规模处于全国前列,但就其经济及财政总量而言,负债率及债务率均处于相对合理水平,同时近年来其不断强化政府债务管理,区域债务风险整体可控。本报告从山东省地方债运行情况、项目收益专项债情况和偿债能力等三个方面,分析山东省地方债发展情况。
<<In the first half of 2020,affected by the impact of the epidemic situation,China’s economic downward pressure increased. In order to support the resumption of work and key projects,a greatly increasing issue scale of local government bonds occurred in Shandong. Among them,the issuing scale of special bonds for project income of local governments in Shandong was far more than that of last year,ranking the second in the country,and the scale of capital construction investment was relatively large. The overall debt level of Shandong was in the front of China. However,in terms of its economic and financial volume,the debt ratio was relatively reasonable. Meanwhile,the government strengthened constantly debt management,so that the debt risk is basically under control. This report will analyze the development of local government bonds in Shandong from three aspects:the operation of local government bonds,the simulation of the effect brought by the issuance of the special bonds of project income and the solvency of Shandong.
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