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    2020年重庆市地方政府债券分析报告

    摘要

    受宏观经济形势和积极财政政策的影响,2020年1~6月重庆市地方债发行规模增长显著;已发行的地方债中,专项债及新增债占比提升,债券期限有所延长,整体发债成本居国内高位。相对于2019年募集资金投向土地及棚改项目,2020年1~6月募集资金多投资于基础设施建设、民生服务及生态环保项目。重庆市项目收益专项债用作项目资本金的比例极低,多以配套融资的形式投向市政项目,收入来源多样,且项目收益基本可以覆盖项目融资;专项债作为配套融资,对基建投资的撬动杠杆居全国末位。此外,重庆市经济及财政总量均居国内中下游,人均经济总量排名尚可,但财政平衡能力较弱;显性债务相对可控,但仍存在一定的偿债压力。

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    Abstract

    Affected by the macroeconomic situation and proactive fiscal policies,the scale of local government bonds issuance in Chongqing in the first half of 2020 increased significantly. Among the newly issued local government bonds,the proportion of special bonds and new bonds increased,the bond maturity was extended,and the overall bond issuance cost ranked high in China. Compared with the funds raised in 2019 that were invested in land and shed reform projects,the funds raised in the first half of 2020 were mostly invested in infrastructure construction,livelihood services and ecological and environmental protection projects. The proportion of Chongqing’s project income special bonds used as project capital was low. Most of the projects were invested in municipal projects in the form of supporting financing. The income sources were diverse,and project income can basically cover project financing;special bonds were used as supporting financing,and the leverage for infrastructure investment was among the lowest in the country. In addition,Chongqing’s economic and fiscal aggregates ranked in the middle and lower reaches of the country,and the per capita economic aggregate ranked well,but its fiscal balance ability was relatively weak;explicit debt was relatively controllable,but there was still some debt repayment pressure.

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    作者简介
    庞一帆:庞一帆,中诚信国际政府公共评级部(武汉)助理分析师,主要研究领域为地方政府债券。
    刘洁:刘洁,中诚信国际政府公共评级部(武汉)高级分析师,主要研究领域为地方政府债券、基础设施投融资行业等。
    张敏:张敏,中诚信国际政府公共评级部(武汉)助理总监,主要研究领域为地方政府债券、基础设施投融资行业等。
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