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    2020年浙江省地方政府债券分析报告

    摘要

    目前,地方债在稳经济、稳增长中发挥了重要作用,加之疫情对经济造成的冲击,各地政府均扩大了地方债的发行规模。2020年,浙江省地方债发行规模增幅不大,债券期限明显偏长,交易规模提升。其中,项目收益专项债持续扩容,期限结构优化,交通基础设施为其近期主要投资领域,但资本金规模不大,对投资增长的撬动效应尚未完全释放。整体来看,浙江省债务规模较大,其债务存量规模位居全国第四,但作为全国经济和财政实力较强的省份,负债率和债务率相对较低,政府性债务风险较小。未来伴随偿债高峰来临,浙江省应更加关注到期压力较大年份的政府资金安排,充分利用地方政府预算及债务限额;同时,监控好专项债中募投项目的投资和经营状况,并充分发挥专项债用作资本金的撬动作用,减轻财政压力。

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    Abstract

    In recent years,local government bonds plays an important role in stabilizing the economy and growth. In addition,with the impact of the Covid-19 on the national economy,China’s local governments have increased the issuance of local government bonds. In 2020,the scale of local government bonds in Zhejiang didn’t have big growth,the trading scale increased and the issuance period was obviously longer. Its project income special bond funds continued to expand,the term structure was optimized and the transportation infrastructure was its main investment field. However,the scale of project capital was small and the leveraging effect on investment growth has not been fully released. On the whole,Zhejiang had a large scale of government debt,and its debt stock ranked the fourth in China. However,as a province with strong economic and financial strength,its debt ratio and debt ratio were relatively low,and the risk of government debt was relatively small. In the future,with the coming of debt repayment peak,Zhejiang should pay more attention to the government fund arrangement in years with great maturity pressure,and make full use of local government budget and debt limit. Meanwhile,Zhejiang should monitor the investment and operation status of the projects raised in special bonds,and give full play to the leverage role of special bonds as capital to reduce the financial pressure.

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    作者简介
    翟贾筠:翟贾筠,中诚信国际政府公共评级部(上海)高级分析师,主要研究领域为地方政府债券、基础设施投融资行业等。
    赵敏:赵敏,中诚信国际政府公共评级部(上海)高级分析师,主要研究领域为地方政府债券、基础设施投融资行业等。
    孙静:孙静,中诚信国际政府公共评级部(上海)助理分析师,主要研究领域为地方政府债券、基础设施投融资行业等。
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