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    2020年湖南省地方政府债券分析报告

    摘要

    2020年受新冠肺炎疫情冲击影响,湖南省地方债发行节奏提前。债券发行规模扩大,发行期限延长,发行成本下降,二级市场活跃。湖南省地方政府项目收益专项债发行规模持续增长,募投领域向市政和产业园区基础设施、民生服务领域转移。专项债用作项目资本金的比例较低,对投资增长的撬动效应尚未完全释放。整体来看,湖南省的债务规模和债务率相对较高,债务限额空间有限,偿债压力相对较大,但政府在积极化解债务风险。未来须严格落实相关化债政策和工具的执行情况,严控债券融资成本,加强债务风险防控,落实地方债偿债高峰期的资金来源。

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    Abstract

    Affected by the impact of the epidemic situation in 2020,the pace of issuing local government bonds in Hunan was advanced and its scale was expanded. Meanwhile,the issuance period of local government bonds was extended,the issuance cost was declined,and the secondary market was active. The project income special bond funds in Hunan local government continued to expand,and the areas of fundraising and investment were transferred to municipal,industrial park infrastructure and livelihood services. However,the proportion of special bonds used as project capital was low,and its leveraging effect on investment growth has not been fully released. On the whole,the debt scale and debt ratio of Hunan were relatively high,the debt limit space was limited,the debt repayment pressure was relatively large,but the government was actively resolving the debt risk. In the future,Hunan needs to strictly implement related debt policies,control bond financing costs,strengthen debt risk prevention and control,and implement the funding sources of local government bonds repayment peak periods.

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    作者简介
    杨锐:杨锐,中诚信国际政府公共评级部(武汉)高级分析师,主要研究领域为地方政府债券、基础设施投融资行业等。
    吴亚婷:吴亚婷,中诚信国际政府公共评级部(武汉)分析师,主要研究领域为地方政府债券、基础设施投融资行业等。
    胡雅梅:胡雅梅,中诚信国际政府公共评级部(武汉)分析师,主要研究领域为地方政府债券、基础设施投融资行业等。
    张蕾:张蕾,中诚信国际政府公共评级部(武汉)分析师,主要研究领域为地方政府债券、基础设施投融资行业等。
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