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    2020年黑龙江省地方政府债券分析报告

    摘要

    2020年1~6月,黑龙江省地方政府债券整体发行规模有所下降,但专项债扩容明显;债券发行成本仍然较高,但整体趋于下行,债券发行期限延长;地方债二级市场活跃度下降。黑龙江省地方政府项目收益专项债扩容,资金投向以传统基建为主,加大对补短板项目资本金的支持力度。黑龙江省新增专项债用作资本金的比例相对较小,其作为资本金对投资增长的撬动效应尚未完全释放。黑龙江省的债务余额和债务率相对较低,债务风险基本可控。未来黑龙江省应注重提高专项债的使用效率和收益性投向、合理安排期限结构、加强对地方政府债券的使用管理和债务风险防控。

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    Abstract

    Since 2020,the scale of local government bonds issuance in Heilongjiang has continued to decline,but the expansion of special bonds has been noticeable. The issuance cost has remained high but generally declined,the issuance period has been extended,and the local government bonds secondary market activity has jumped upwards. The project income special bond funds in Heilongjiang have expanded,mainly to traditional infrastructure,and the capital support for projects to strengthen weak links have been increased. However,there was only a small proportion of special bonds to be used as capital,so the leveraging effect of capital on investment growth has not been fully released. Heilongjiang’s debt balance and debt ratio were relatively low,and its debt risks were controllable. In the future,Heilongjiang should improve the use efficiency and profitable investment of special bonds,rationally arrange the term structure,strengthen the use management of local government bonds and control debt risks.

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    作者简介
    郭鑫:郭鑫,中诚信国际政府公共评级部(北京)分析师,主要研究领域为地方政府债券、基础设施投融资行业、民用机场行业等。
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