澳大利亚2019年联邦选举结果出人意料,此前被广泛看好的工党败选,莫里森领导的自由党-国家党联盟得以连任。各党在选举后开始反思党内制度,着眼于2022年大选。自由党和工党都进行了调整,在保持稳定的同时完成了党内的换届和重组。与此同时,空前的山火灾害和新冠肺炎疫情接踵而至,对莫里森政府接连构成严峻挑战,国内经济出现下滑甚至衰退,社会信心不稳。莫里森在山火应对上一度因救助不力广受批评,支持率出现下降,疫情发生后采取了比较及时有力的政策措施,澳疫情得以控制,莫里森的支持率出现回升。但未来疫情的走向以及对澳经济、社会的影响目前尚不明朗,莫里森政府在2021年面临巨大的挑战,疫情的控制和经济的重振效果将直接影响自由党在下一届大选中的选情。
<<Australia’s federal election 2019 ended with a surprise win by the Liberal-National Party coalition,though the opposition Labor Party had been widely expected to be the frontrunner. Now having the next federal election in 2022 in sight,both major parties effected reshuffling and changes,partly to avoid instability which had characterised Australian politics for the past decade. The Morrison government was faced with severe challenges at home during 2019-2020,first the worst bushfire season in the country’s history and then the COVID-19,both of which dealt a serious blow to both the economy and public confidence. After drawing wide criticism on his response to the bush fire,Morrison took swift and responsive measures to tackle the COVID-19 pandemic,bringing his approval rate back to high again. Year 2021 is expected to be another challenging year for the Morrison government,for whom great uncertainty remains in pandemic control and economic recovery. Performance in those areas will prove to be key for the Liberal Party in the coming election.
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