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    2013~2019年长江经济带制造业金融化对经济高质量发展影响研究报告

    摘要

    金融部门为实体经济提供了资源优化配置的通道,是经济高质量发展的重要支撑。本报告基于长江经济带沿线11省市2013~2019年微观数据,实证分析了长江经济带制造业金融化对经济发展质量的影响,得出以下四点结论。(1)长江经济带制造业金融化就短期效应而言,以发挥“蓄水池”效应为主,能够显著提升经济发展质量,但长期则以“挤出”效应为主,并不利于提升经济发展质量。(2)地区金融化水平对制造业金融化短期发挥“蓄水池”效应具有促进作用;融资约束对制造业金融化发挥“蓄水池”效应具有抑制作用,不利于提升经济发展质量;地区金融监管在制造业金融化影响经济发展质量中的作用并不显著。(3)一般盈利企业和中小规模企业提升其金融化水平,对经济发展质量的影响更为显著。(4)机制检验表明,降低信息不确定程度以及增加主营业务投资是制造业金融化发挥短期“蓄水池”效应,提升经济发展质量的两条重要作用路径。

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    Abstract

    The financial sector provides a channel for the optimal allocation of resources for the real economy and it is an important support for the high-quality development of the economy as well. Based on the data from 2013 to 2019 of 11 provinces along the Yangtze River Economic Belt,this paper empirically analyzes the influence of the financialization of manufacturing industry on the quality of economic development,and draws the following four conclusions. (1)In terms of short-term effects,the financialization of manufacturing industry can significantly improve the quality of economic development by giving play to the “reservoir” effect,but in the long run,the “crowding out” effect is the main effect,which is not conducive to improving the quality of economic development. (2)The level of regional financialization promotes the short-term “reservoir” effect of the financialization of manufacturing industry;Financing constraints have an inhibitory effect on the “reservoir” effect,which is not conducive to improving the quality of economic development. Regional financial regulation has no significant effect on the quality of economic development due to the financialization of manufacturing industry. (3)Generally profitable enterprises and medium-sized enterprises improve their financialization level,which has a more significant impact on the quality of economic development. (4)The mechanism test shows that reducing the degree of information uncertainty and increasing the investment in main business are the two important ways for the financialization of manufacturing industry and improve the quality of economic development in the short term.

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    作者简介
    黄庆华:黄庆华,西南大学经济管理学院副院长,教授,博士生导师,从事区域经济、产业结构和产业政策研究。
    时培豪:时培豪,西南大学助理研究员,从事区域经济、企业创新研究。
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