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    2020年中国燃料电池汽车市场现状及展望

    摘要

    近年来我国燃料电池汽车产销量持续增加,从2016年的624辆增长到2019年的3023辆,年均复合增长率达到169%,累计产量超过7000辆。2020年上半年,基于补贴政策调整等原因,燃料电池汽车产量同比下降93%。随着燃料电池汽车政策逐步明朗,产业链各环节企业供给格局持续优化,燃料电池汽车经济性逐步提高,燃料电池汽车关键技术持续突破及车型更加丰富,用车环境加快成熟,未来几年燃料电池汽车将保持平稳快速增长,优先在部分重点区域聚集发展。2030年前后,燃料电池汽车的经济性将与燃油车相当,技术水平较为成熟,环保性优于燃油车,届时燃料电池汽车市场转向市场驱动型,开始进入全面爆发式增长期。

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    Abstract

    In recent years,China’s production and sales of fuel cell vehicles have continued to increase,from 624 in 2016 to 3,023 in 2019,with an annual compound growth rate of 169% and a cumulative production of more than 7,000 vehicles. In the first half of 2020,the production of fuel cell vehicles fell by 93% year-on-year due to the adjustment of subsidy policies and other reasons. As the fuel cell car policy gradually clear,every link of the industrial chain enterprise supply pattern of continuous optimization,fuel cell car economy gradually increase,fuel cell vehicles continues to break through the key technology and model more rich,transport environment to speed up the mature,in the next few years fuel cell car will maintain steady and rapid growth,priority development in some key areas. Around 2030,fuel cell vehicles will be as economical as fuel vehicles,with relatively mature technical level and better environmental protection than fuel vehicles. By then,the market of fuel cell vehicles will turn to market-driven type,and there will be certain policy inclination in the use process,starting to enter a period of comprehensive explosive growth.

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    作者简介
    任海波:任海波,硕士,高级工程师,北京卡达克科技中心有限公司。
    管宇:管宇,硕士,高级工程师,北京卡达克科技中心有限公司产业发展市场咨询部副部长。
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