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    2020年中国工业经济形势分析与政策建议

    摘要

    突如其来的新冠肺炎疫情对中国工业经济造成较大冲击,随着中央统筹推进疫情防控和经济社会发展各项政策措施的逐步落实,复工复产深入推进,工业生产持续回升,工业经济各项指标均呈现“V”形反转走势。当前,工业经济仍面临不少困难和挑战,突出表现为企业资金压力增大、民间制造业投资低迷。新冠肺炎疫情叠加外部环境不确定性,2020年四季度中国工业经济仍面临较大下行压力。因此,今后一段时间,中国工业经济发展需要平衡短期应对与中长期发展。一方面短期应对疫情对工业经济冲击,通过扩需求特别是扩内需,努力实现工业经济平稳增长;另一方面继续深化供给侧结构性改革,推动工业经济高质量发展。

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    Abstract

    The sudden outbreak of COVID-19 has had a major impact on China’s industrial economy. With the implementation of various policies and measures for epidemic prevention and control and economic and social development carried out by the central government in a coordinated manner,the resumption of work and production has been further advanced,industrial production has continued to rebound,and various indicators of the industrial economy have shown a V-shaped reversal trend. At present,the industrial economy is still facing many difficulties and challenges,which are highlighted by the increasing financial pressure on enterprises and sluggish private investment in the manufacturing sector. Due to the COVID-19 outbreak and uncertainties in the external environment,China’s industrial economy still faced considerable downward pressure in the fourth quarter of this year. Therefore,for some time to come,China’s industrial economic development needs to balance short-term response and medium and long-term development. On the one hand,we should deal with the impact of the epidemic on the industrial economy in the short term,and strive to achieve steady growth of the industrial economy by expanding demand,especially domestic demand;on the other hand,we should continue to deepen supply-side structural reform and promote high-quality development of the industrial economy.

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    作者简介
    史丹:史丹,中国社会科学院工业经济研究所研究员,主要研究方向:能源经济、低碳经济、产业发展与产业政策。
    张航燕:张航燕,中国社会科学院工业经济研究所副研究员,主要研究方向:工业运行分析。
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