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    2020年中国股票市场回顾与2021年展望

    摘要

    2020年中国股票市场总体保持稳健运行,金融监管机构全力支持上市公司抗击疫情,资本市场活力持续提升,加强基础制度建设、提高上市公司质量成为金融改革的重点任务,高水平双向开放加速前行,在消费股和科技股的拉动支撑下,长线机构资金获得丰厚回报。全球主要经济体启动超常规货币政策,疫情常态化防控下中央坚持供给侧结构性改革主线不动摇,货币政策灵活适度,市场化降息成效显著。2021年A股市场基本面、资金面、政策面的积极因素不断增多,需要更加耐心地看待资本市场发展,抓住产业链与创新链深度融合的有利契机,把握增量提质扩大内需的必然趋势,中国股票市场中长期来看仍然处在上升通道。

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    Abstract

    In 2020,China’s stock market remains generally stable operation,financial regulators fully support listed companies in fighting the epidemic,the vitality of the capital market will continue to improve. The improvement of basic system construction and the quality of listed companies have become the key tasks of financial reform. The high level of two-way opening accelerated. With the support of consumer stocks and technology stocks,long-term institutional funds have received generous returns. Major economies around the world have initiated unconventional monetary policies. Under the normalized prevention and control of the epidemic,the central government has adhered to the main line of supply-side structural reforms,the monetary policy is flexible and appropriate,and the market-based interest rate cut has achieved remarkable results. In 2021,the positive factors in the fundamentals,capital and policy aspects of the A-share market will continue to increase. It is necessary to be more patient with the development of the capital market,seize the favorable opportunities of the deep integration of the industrial chain and the innovation chain,and grasp the inevitable trend of incremental improvement in quality and expansion of domestic demand. In the medium and long term,China’s stock market is still on the upward path.

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    作者简介
    李世奇:李世奇,上海社会科学院数量经济研究中心助理研究员,主要研究方向:城市创新发展、企业研发效率与政府科技政策评估。
    朱平芳:朱平芳,上海社会科学院数量经济研究中心主任、研究员,主要研究方向:计量经济学、宏观经济预测分析与政策评价、科技进步评价与分析。
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