黄河流域是我国第二大流域,也是中华文明的重要发源地,是我国重要的生态屏障和重要的经济地带,在我国经济社会发展和生态安全方面有着十分重要的地位。探讨黄河流域应对气候变化和高质量发展对于优化全国战略布局具有积极意义。在全球变暖背景下,未来黄河流域气候呈现温度上升和强降水事件增加的趋势,本文综合考虑黄河流域生态环境基本特征、水资源状况和气候变化因素,分析了黄河流域减缓和适应气候变化行动,开展了黄河流域未来气候变化预估与气候风险评价。建议:一是加强上游气候变化监测与影响研究;二是提高流域旱涝预报预测预警水平;三是统筹规划提高流域气候综合保障能力;四是加强气象灾害风险管理,推进农业气象保障工程实施;五是转变传统经济发展方式,加强流域水资源保护。
<<The Yellow River Basin is not only the second largest river basin in China but also the important birthplace of Chinese civilization. The Yellow River Basin is an important ecological barrier and an important economic zone in China,which has a very important position in China’s economic development and ecological security. Exploring the Yellow River Basin’s response to climate change and high-quality development is of positive significance for optimizing the national strategic layout. Under the background of global warming,the future climate of the Yellow River Basin will show temperature rise trend and have heavy precipitation events. This article comprehensively considers the basic characteristics of the ecological environment of the Yellow River Basin,water resources and climate change factors,and analyzes the Yellow River Basin’s actions to mitigate and adapt to climate change. It is of great significance to carry out future climate change prediction and climate risk assessment of the Yellow River Basin,and then to propose strategies and suggestions to promote the high-quality development of the Yellow River Basin.
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