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    2020年新冠肺炎疫情对全球应对气候变化的影响与启示

    摘要

    新冠肺炎疫情给全球经济和社会带来“二战”以来最严重的冲击。疫情使气候变化与病毒传播以及健康之间的关系备受关注,也让全球低碳转型之路愈加艰难,落实《巴黎协定》面临重大考验。虽然疫情短期内显著减少了碳排放,改善了环境质量,但背离了可持续发展的初衷;虽然疫情客观上削弱了各国应对气候变化的政策和行动,但后疫情时代全球价值链重构也带来绿色低碳转型的新机遇;虽然疫情警示治理韧性和国际合作应对危机的重要性,但疫情以来全球气候进程全面停滞,国际互信流失,气候领导力严重缺失。疫情就像是气候危机的一次预演,我们应从中汲取应对危机的经验。中国快速遏制本土疫情,积极复工复产,取得了经济复苏的先发优势。中国要坚守生态文明建设的战略定力,增强社会经济系统韧性,转“危”为“机”,抓住低碳转型机遇,在促进国内高质量发展的同时,深度参与全球气候治理,共谋全球生态文明建设。

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    Abstract

    The COVID-19 epidemic has brought the most severe shock to the global economy and society since World War II. It has attracted much attention to the relationship between climate change and the spread of viruses and health,made the global low-carbon transition more difficult and resulted in the implementation of the Paris Agreement facing serious challenges. Although the COVID-19 epidemic has significantly reduced carbon emissions and improved environmental quality in the short term,it deviates from the original intention of sustainability;Although it has objectively weakened policies and actions of countries in response to climate change,the reconstruction of the global value chain in the post-epidemic era also brings new opportunities for green and low-carbon transformation;Although it warns of the importance of governance resilience and international cooperation for crises,the global climate process has completely stalled since the epidemic,followed by the loss of international mutual trust and severe lack of climate leadership. The COVID-19 epidemic is like a preview of the climate crisis,and we should learn from it. China quickly contained the local epidemic,actively resumed work and production,which obtains a first-mover advantage in economic recovery. China must adhere to the strategic determination of ecological civilization construction,strengthen the resilience of the social and economic system,turn “danger” into “opportunity”,seize the opportunity of low-carbon transformation,and deeply participate in global climate governance and the construction of global ecological civilization while promoting high-quality development of domestic economy and society.

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    作者简介
    陈迎:陈迎,中国社会科学院生态文明研究所研究员,主要研究方向为全球环境治理、可持续发展经济学、气候变化政策等。
    沈维萍:沈维萍,中国社会科学院大学(研究生院)在读博士研究生,主要研究方向为全球环境治理、可持续发展经济学、气候变化政策等。
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