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    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
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李培林
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    2019年中国自动驾驶产业发展状况分析与未来发展趋势展望

    摘要

    随着新一轮科技革命和产业变革的蓬勃发展,汽车与人工智能、通信等领域加速融合,推动了汽车智能化和网联化的快速发展。自动驾驶汽车作为跨界融合的重要载体,正推动汽车、交通等产业的深刻变革,同时为解决汽车带来的环境、能源、交通等方面的社会问题提供新思路、新方案。本文从中国自动驾驶政策、法律、标准、技术、产业、商业化应用等多方面描述当前自动驾驶发展现状,通过与国内外发展对比,分析我国发展自动驾驶产业面临的挑战,包括自动驾驶相关标准及法规不健全、技术发展不成熟、上下游产业链不完备、相关产业间缺乏统一协调机制、没有实现可赢利的商业模式以及科普程度需要提高等,并预计未来Robotaxi将成为出行服务行业的竞争热点,车路协同将成为中国发展自动驾驶的特色技术路线,信息安全是自动驾驶安全上路要跨越的第一道门槛,自动驾驶跨界合作协同是必然趋势以及商业化运营将加速。

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    Abstract

    At present,under the new revolution of science and technology and the vigorous development of industry,automobile and artificial intelligence,communication and other fields accelerate the integration,promote the rapid development of automobile intelligence and network connection. As an important carrier of cross-boundary integration,autonomous driving vehicles are pushing forward the profound transformation of automobile,transportation and other industries,and providing new ideas and solutions to the social problems brought by automobiles in the fields of environment,energy and transportation. In this paper,we describe the present situation of auto-driving in China from the aspects of auto-driving policy,law,standard,technology,industry and commercial application,and analyze the challenges in developing auto-driving in China through the comparative analysis between domestic and domestic development,including the imperfection of relevant standards and regulations,the immaturity of technology development,the imperfection of upstream and downstream industrial chains,the lack of a unified coordination mechanism among related industries,the lack of a profitable business model and the need to improve the degree of collaborative driving. It is expected that Robotaxi will become a hot competition in the travel service industry in the future,and vehicle-road coordination will become the main technical route for the development of autonomous driving in China. Information security is the first threshold to be crossed on the safe road of autonomous driving. Autonomous driving cross-border cooperation is an inevitable trend,commercial operation will accelerate.

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    作者简介
    王成:王成,高级工程师,中汽中心北京卡达克科技中心有限公司总经理。
    王小臣:王小臣,副高级工程师,中汽中心北京卡达克科技中心有限公司准入工程与装备开发部主任。
    张美芳:
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