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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
蔡 昉
    中国社会科学院国家高端智库首席专家,学部委员,学部主席团秘书长,研究员,博士生导师。先后毕业于中国人民大学、中国... 详情>>
李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    “阿比新政”与埃塞俄比亚政治发展

    摘要

    “阿比新政”的背景是埃塞俄比亚国内旧的权力格局发生变化,经济高速发展但分配不均引起民众不满和政局动荡。“阿比新政”的主要内容包括:建立埃塞俄比亚繁荣党,重构国内政治秩序;维护国内和平稳定,促进政治和民族整合;解决国家宏观经济失衡问题,改善营商环境,吸引投资,提高生产率和经济竞争力;争取国际合作伙伴为改革提供资金支持等。“阿比新政”面临不定期的政治动乱、民族矛盾、狭隘民族主义和宏观经济结构的脆弱性等多方面的挑战。目前,阿比政治经济改革的资金来源主要依赖国际合作伙伴,因此“阿比新政”及埃塞政治发展要平衡和兼顾国内外利益攸关者的不同诉求、关切和期望。

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    Abstract

    The backgrounds of Premier Abiy Ahmed’s new reform policy include the dramatic change of domestic power politics in Ethiopia,the rapid economic development with unfair wealth distribution,the popular discontent,and the political turbulence. The main points of his reforms are as follows:firstly,reconstructing the domestic political order,safeguarding national peace and stability;secondly,redressing the imbalance of national macro economy,ameliorating the business environment so as to attract more foreign investments and improve the productivity and economic competitiveness;thirdly,appealing to the international partners to provide more financial support to his reform endeavors. There are multiple challenges for Abiy’s reform ambitions including the periodic political turmoil,the discords among different ethnic groups,the narrow and extreme nationalism,and the fragility of the economy structure in Ethiopia. Currently,the main financial contributors to Abiy’s political and economic reforms are from the international partners. Hence,the Abiy Reform and political development in Ethiopia need to consider and balance the different concerns and expectations from different domestic and foreign stakeholders.

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    作者简介
    曾爱平:曾爱平,中国国际问题研究院发展中国家研究所副所长、副研究员,主要从事非洲政治和中非关系研究。
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