信贷数据与GDP增长有着高度相关性。本文通过对2004~2018年四川省银行业金融机构主要经济数据的分析,对2019年、2020年四川省银行业主要数据指标进行预测,并对2019年、2020年四川省GDP进行检验和预测。结论证明信贷投放数据仍然是重要的经济增长预测要素,本文对相关数据指标的预测结果准确性较高。为进一步促进四川省银行业发展,本文提出加大产业与金融结合力度、进一步提高金融服务实体经济能力,完善农村金融体系、提高金融支持乡村振兴水平,着力推进五区金融协同发展等对策建议。
<<Credit data is highly correlated with GDP growth. Based on the analysis of the main economic data of Sichuan financial institutions during 2004-2018,this paper predicts the main data indicators of Sichuan Province in 2019 and 2020,and predicts and tests the GDP of Sichuan Province in 2019 and 2020. The conclusion proves that credit data is still an important factor for economic growth forecast. The accuracy of the prediction results of relevant data indicators is high. In order to further promote the development of banking industry in Sichuan Province,this paper proposes to strengthen the combination of industry and finance,further improve the financial service entity economic ability,improve the rural financial system,improve the financial support for rural revitalization,and strive to promote the coordinated financial development of the five zones.
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