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谢伏瞻
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李培林
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    2019~2020年四川省消费品市场分析与预测

    摘要

    2019年四川省消费品市场基本保持平稳增长,增速高于全国同期平均水平,消费结构继续呈现升级转型趋势,但相较上年消费增速有所放缓。2020年,受疫情影响,四川省经济发展面临冲击,内外需大幅下降,居民消费面临较大的不确定性,一季度消费市场显著收缩下滑,并将在一定时期内仍然呈现下滑态势。随着我国疫情控制效果逐渐显现及生产生活秩序逐步恢复,四川省消费市场将呈现回暖趋势,消费类经济指标将呈现向好趋势。同时四川消费市场的复苏状况,也和国外疫情控制状况密切相关。

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    Abstract

    In 2019,the consumer goods market in Sichuan Province basically maintained a steady growth,with the growth rate higher than the national average level over the same period. The consumption structure continued to show a trend of upgrading and transformation,but the growth rate of consumption slowed down compared with the previous year. In 2020,affected by the COVID-19 epidemic,Sichuan’s economic development is facing a strong impact,with a sharp drop in domestic and foreign demand,and a large uncertainty in consumption. In the first quarter,the consumer market declined significantly,and will continue to decline in a certain period of time. With the effect of epidemic control gradually appearing in China,and with the gradual recovery of production and life order,the consumption market in Sichuan Province will show a recovery trend,and the consumption economic indicators will show a good trend. At the same time,the recovery of Sichuan consumer market is closely related to the situation of epidemic control abroad.

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    作者简介
    刘艳婷:刘艳婷,经济学博士,四川省社会科学院产业经济研究所副研究员,主要研究方向为产业经济、对外经济。
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