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谢伏瞻
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    深圳市2019年固定资产投资形势分析及2020年调控思路

    摘要

    2019年,深圳市固定资产投资保持平稳较快增长。其中,基础设施为投资稳增长提供强力支撑,房地产开发投资增速有所回落,工业投资增速有所回升,政府投资和重大项目完成情况良好,投资向原特区外倾斜力度持续加大。2020年,在外部风险挑战和不确定性增多、疫情冲击、宏观经济下行压力加大等多重因素影响下,深圳市固定资产投资稳增长面临巨大挑战,但“双区驱动”的重大历史战略落实也将催生大量高质量投资。深圳市应按照统筹做好疫情防控和经济社会发展工作的要求,深化投融资体制改革,推动项目开复工加快建设,优化重点领域投资环境,计划储备一批重大项目,加快在建重大项目建设提速增效,推动固定资产投资平稳较快增长,预计2020年全市固定资产投资增长15%左右。

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    Abstract

    In 2019,the fixed asset investment in Shenzhen grew by 18.8%,maintaining at a relatively fast growth. The rapid growth on infrastructure investment has laid a solid foundation for the stable investment growth. The investment growth on the real estate exploration falled back while the industrial investment growth rebounded. The government investment and major projects were well completed. Investment on the regions outside the original Special Economic Zone continued to be increased. In 2020,solid investment growth on the fixed asset will face significant challenges,which is brought about by multiple factors,such as the external risk challenges,increasing uncertainties,the outbreak of COVID-19 as well as the increased downward pressure in marcoeconomy. However,abundant high-quality investment will spring up,driven by the implementation of two historic strategies-the Guangdong-Hongkong-Macao Greater Bay Area and the Demonstration Pilot Zone for Socialism with Chinese Characteristics. Therefore,in accordance with the requirement on coordinating the epidemic prevention and the economic and social development,Shenzhen shall deepen the reform on the investment and financing mechanism,promote the opening-up and resuming work to accelerate the construction,faciliate the efficiency on the key major programs under construction. The investment growth on the fixed asset shall be regulated at a stable level,which is predicted to be at 15% in 2020.

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    作者简介
    李璐:李璐,经济学博士,中共坪山区委党校教师,主要研究方向为国民经济学。
    彭海城:彭海城,经济学博士,深圳市发展和改革委员会主任科员,主要研究方向为投资学。
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