安全是旅游者对旅游目的地的基本需求。近年来,台湾旅游安全事件频发,在一定程度上降低了大陆游客赴台意愿。首先,本文通过对2019年台湾旅游安全事件的特点和成因进行系统性分析,并结合往年台湾旅游安全事件的情况,发现:①2019年台湾旅游安全事件数量和事故造成伤亡数较上年均大幅攀升;②在台湾旅游安全事件类型中,事故灾难占51%,仍以旅游交通安全事故为主;③旅游安全事件多发生在冬季,表现出明显的季节性波动;在空间上呈现不均衡分布。其次,本文认为:①2020年台湾旅游安全事件的数量虽会回落,表现出赴台游客主力人群锐减,继而旅游安全伤亡事故基数随之减少;②旅游安全事件类型仍将以旅游交通安全事故为主;③公共卫生事件防控工作将是全社会关注重点。最后,本文从自然环境、社会环境及旅游者管理的角度,提出了建议。
<<In recent years,the frequent occurrence of tourism security incidents in Taiwan has been reduced the willingness of mainland tourists to visit Taiwan to some extent. Base on the systematic analysis of the characteristics and causes of Taiwan’s tourism safety incidents in 2019,and combined with the situation of Taiwan’s tourism safety incidents in previous years,this paper finds that:(1)the number of tourism safety incidents and the number of casualties caused by accidents in 2019 are significantly higher than that in the previous year;(2)in the types of tourism safety incidents,51% of them are accidents and disasters,mainly tourism traffic safety incidents;(3)Most of the tourism security incidents occur in winter,showing obvious seasonal fluctuations;and they are unevenly distributed in space. This paper holds that:(1)although the number of Taiwan’s tourism safety incidents will drop off in 2020,part of them are caused by political malice,showing that the main number of tourists to Taiwan will sharply decrease,and then the number of tourism safety casualties will decrease;(2)the types of tourism safety incidents will still be dominated by tourism traffic safety incidents;(3)the prevention and control of public health incidents will be the focus of the whole society. Finally,from the perspective of natural environment,social environment,and tourist management,this paper puts forward some suggestions to create a safe and stable tourist environment for tourists.
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