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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
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李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    2019年拉丁美洲成品油市场概述

    摘要

    2019年,拉丁美洲炼油业受到动荡的政治经济环境影响而持续承压,因缺乏资金投入,不仅没有新增炼油能力投产,现有炼厂也因得不到常规维护检修开工率一再下降。此外,美国持续加大对委内瑞拉的制裁力度,也直接导致炼厂加工原料和稀释剂的短缺,进一步限制原油加工量,对整个区域的成品油供应造成较大影响,促使拉丁美洲成品油进口持续增长。预计,2020年拉丁美洲宏观经济将进一步恶化,一方面对成品油需求构成一定抑制,另一方面也将持续对炼厂生产和成品油供应造成影响。

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    Abstract

    Over 2019,Latin America refiners saw constant pressure amid the regional political unrest and economy climate. Due to a shortage of capital investments,the refining capacity growth was not put in place,while the operation rates at existing plants also kept dropping lower,as the maintenances on a regular basis were often interrupted. Moreover,as US deepened the sanction on Venezuela,refining feedstock and diluents were directly cut short,bringing a further shrink of crude runs and product supplies across the area. Consequently,it gave a continuous rise to product import. In 2020,Latin America is about to see even worse economics which would restrain the product demand,to some extent,as well as the refinery operations and the product supplies.

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    作者简介
    徐臻博:徐臻博,中国国际石油化工联合有限责任公司英国分公司业务副经理。
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