2019 is the second year after the “Merkel 4.0” government took power，and also a transition period for the country to the “post-Merkel era”. In this process of transformation，Germany is faced with many uncertainties：in terms of internal affairs，it is uncertain whether the chancellor can complete her term of office as she appears to desire and if，against the background of an increasingly fragmented political party system，she will be able to form a stable government ready to face the future；in terms of diplomacy，it is uncertain whether Germany’s “Munich consensus” for a proactive and constructive diplomacy will have a lasting momentum and if this consensus can be faithfully translated into specific actions in an ever more complex external environment. Overall there is a high probability that the domestic constraints for the execution of Germany’s future policy will increase and that，in consequence，its readiness to assume more responsibilities at the EU and international levels will abate.