构建以高端高新产业为支撑的产业生态系统,对融合创新生态系统、协同驱动雄安新区高质量发展有重要的意义。本报告鉴于雄安新区现阶段以传统产业群落为主的现实情景,研究未来产业群落间发展关系和互动演化结果,着力探索如何构建现代产业体系。本报告运用Lotka-Volterra模型,对高端高新产业和传统产业群落的互动演化过程进行情景推演,结果显示:高端高新产业与传统产业群落的竞争替代或互补共生关系,受各自价值、不可替代性、竞争力和创造效益大小的影响;开放式资源获取有利于维持群落间互补共生关系的稳定;动态环境下相互间竞争强度的降低,可使产业群落在经过动态转换后,依旧保持最佳的互补共生关系。依据理论分析结果和雄安新区规划目标及高质量发展定位,本报告从指导思想和保障机制双视角切入,提出以产业群落的互补共生、协同发展为原则来实现产业链、创新链、价值链、服务链相融合的产业生态体系的构建思路;以及应从制度机制、产业体系、创新系统、资金获取等方面建立产业生态系统的保障体系。
<<It is of great significance to construct industrial ecosystem dominated by high-end high-tech industries,in order to make up for and integrate the innovative ecosystem and drive the high-quality development of Xiongan New Area synergistically. Based on the reality that the traditional low-end industrial communities are the main bodies of Xiongan New Area at current stage,it’s very important to study the future industrial communities’ development relationships and interactive evolution results. In order to achieve the goal of building a modern industrial system,the report uses Lotka-Volterra model to deduce the evolution process of interaction between high-end high-tech and traditional industrial communities,the results show that:the competitive substitution and complementary symbiotic relationships between high-end high-tech and traditional industrial communities are generally affected by their respective values,irreplaceable,competitiveness and the sizes of benefits created;opening access to resources can maintain the stability of complementary symbiotic relationships between communities;in the dynamic environment,the decrease of competition intensity can promote the industrial communities to maintain the best complementary symbiotic relationship after dynamic transformation. According to the results of theoretical analysis and the planning objectives and high quality development orientation of Xiongan New Area,from the perspective of guidance ideology and security mechanisms,the report puts out the general principles of grasping the development direction of the new area,handling the relationship correctly between industrial communities and integrating into the regional environment of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei actively,and realize the idea of the construction of the industrial ecological system,including the mutual integration of industrial chain,the innovation chain,the value chain and the service chain;meanwhile,it’s supposed to establish guarantee system of industrial communities from the aspects of institutional mechanism,industrial system,innovation system,capital acquisition and utilization.
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