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    2019~2020年安徽社会发展形势分析与预测

    摘要

    2019年,安徽坚持以新发展理念统筹经济社会发展,经济运行稳中向好,居民收入稳步提升,结构调整持续推进,产业体系持续优化,环境保护持续发力,脱贫攻坚连战连捷,文化建设有声有色,民生工程铿锵有力,“美好乡村”持续迈进。2019年,安徽牢牢抓住国家发展战略机遇,推进“一圈五区”建设,加速融入长三角;省会合肥的发展再创新高,辐射力与影响力不断攀升。与此同时,深受整体经济“四期叠加”影响,安徽社会发展面临的考验依然突出:经济下行隐忧持续,高质量发展形势严峻;结构失衡依旧凸显,实体经济困难突出;产业“造血”能力不足,全部脱贫面临考验;环境治理压力不减,环保工作仍需策马扬鞭;区域协调融合度不够,尚未深度融入长三角;就业压力有增无减,人才集聚困境犹存。对此,针对安徽社会发展中的现实考验,本文从策略与应对方面提出相应建议,以兹借鉴与参考。

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    Abstract

    In 2019,Anhui coordinated economic and social development with a new development concepts,the economy has been operating steadily and well;income of the residents has been steadily increasing;structural adjustment has continued to advance;industrial system has been continuously optimized;environmental protection has continued to improve;poverty alleviation has achieved one success after another;cultural development has been vivid and colorful;projects for people’s livelihood have been effective;and efforts to build Beautiful Villages continue to intensify. In 2019,Anhui firmly grasped national development strategy,promoted the construction of One Circle and Five Zones,and accelerated its integration into the Yangtze River Delta;the development of the provincial capital Hefei reached a new high,and its radiation and influence continued to rise. Meanwhile,deeply influenced by the four-phase superposition of the overall economy,the challenges facing Anhui social development are still conspicuous:the potential for economic downturn continues to exist,with severe consequences for high-quality development;structural imbalances remain prominent,with outstanding difficulties for the real economy;the ‘blood-making’ capability of industries is insufficient,with challenges in poverty alleviation for all;pressure for environmental governance is not reduced,with much room for improvement in environmental protection;regional coordination and integration is inadequate,and the Yangtze River Delta has not yet been deeply integrated;employment pressure continues to increase,with difficulties for talent concentration. Therefore,in view of the real challenges for Anhui social development,this article puts forward corresponding suggestions in terms of strategies and responses to serve as policy references.

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    作者简介
    范和生:范和生,安徽大学创新发展战略研究院副院长,安徽省社会心理学会会长,安徽大学社会与政治学院教授,博士生导师,研究方向为社会学理论、政治社会学、社会心理学与国际政治社会学。
    陶德强:陶德强,安徽大学社会与政治学院博士生,研究方向为社会学理论、政治社会学与国际政治社会学。
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