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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
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李培林
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    运输经济理论与应用研究概述及研究框架

    摘要

    本书共分七章。第一章解释了从经济学视角来看为什么需要,以及如何将拥堵道路看作一个具体的常见的市场失灵现象,这种现象是由外部成本引起的。本章将讨论这类市场的自由市场均衡结果,并将其与经济最优均衡结果进行比较。进而,还将讨论如何通过定价政策来实现这种最优结果。最后,本章分析了一个看起来存在矛盾的重要问题——为什么经济有效(福利最大化)的政策在民主社会中往往难以实施。

    第二章进一步探讨了一些实际的交通问题,它们可能会使得人们无法完全地直接将理论模型的洞见运用到实际的政策制定中去。本章探讨为什么在面对交通拥堵时,仅用道路定价这种“经济”手段通常不足以达到完全最优,主要借助需求导向的定价政策和供给导向的道路容量政策之间的相互作用来进行阐释。本章还将讨论所谓“次优”定价的种种经济细节,这种定价往往更符合实际,但严格来说并不完美。

    第三章将考虑网络运营商追求的其他不同目标如何影响其使用的定价规则,以及由此产生的市场结果。首先,本章关注以下问题:道路私有化是不是一个经济上有吸引力的方法,可以用来应对道路拥堵问题。本章将说明为什么私有化并不总是应对低效率的“神奇疗法”,这有时与人们的信条背道而驰。其次,本章说明公共机构也可能追求与整体社会期望不相符的目标。特别的,本章讨论税收竞争的主题,当不同政府代表不同人群而税基重叠时,有可能会出现这种竞争。由于运输显然涉及移动的行为人,因此,税收竞争变得重要的可能性是远远超出想象的。

    第四章考察交通运输中除外部性以外的其他类型的市场失灵,这类市场失灵是市场势力造成的。本章将讨论自然垄断(铁路领域)和寡头垄断(航空领域)的实际案例。笔者既重视识别那些造成市场势力的根本经济原因,也重视推演经济政策的含义。鉴于此,这些市场中的实际政策被加以评估,如简要讨论荷兰在铁路政策方面的经验和各国在航空市场放松管制方面的经验。

    第五章进行实证研究,讨论对没有可观测市场价格的物品进行经济赋值的实证方法,以出行时间为例。

    第六章探讨政府为评估潜在投资项目的可行性而采用的一项重要技术——成本—效益分析法。这个方法尽管看起来简单,但是在执行过程中存在很多陷阱,经济学家在实际运用中应注意这一点。

    第七章探讨行为经济学的发展与其在交通出行领域的应用,分析人们出行行为中可能存在的偏差,探讨如何将行为经济学理论运用到交通政策的制定中。

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    Abstract

    This book is divided into seven chapters. The first chapter explains why it is needed from the perspective of economics, and how to regard congestion road as a specific common market failure phenomenon, which is caused by external costs. In this chapter, we will discuss the free market equilibrium result of this kind of market and compare it with the economic optimal equilibrium result. Furthermore, we will discuss how to achieve this optimal result through pricing policy. Finally, this chapter analyzes an important question that seems to be contradictory - why is it difficult to implement economically effective (welfare maximization) policies in democratic societies. Chapter 2 further discusses some practical traffic problems, which may make it impossible for people to directly apply the insights of theoretical models to actual policy-making. This chapter discusses why in the face of traffic congestion, the "economic" means of road pricing alone is usually not enough to achieve complete optimization. It is mainly explained by the interaction between demand-oriented pricing policy and supply-oriented road capacity policy. This chapter also discusses the economic details of the so-called "suboptimal" pricing, which is often more realistic but not strictly perfect. The third chapter will consider how the different goals pursued by network operators affect the pricing rules they use and the resulting market results. First of all, this chapter focuses on the following questions: is road privatization an economically attractive way to deal with road congestion. This chapter will explain why privatization does not always deal with inefficient "magic cures," which sometimes run counter to the creed. Secondly, this chapter shows that public institutions may also pursue goals that are inconsistent with the expectations of the whole society. In particular, this chapter discusses the theme of tax competition, which may occur when different governments represent different groups of people with overlapping tax bases. Since transport obviously involves the mobile actor, the possibility of tax competition becoming important is far beyond imagination. Chapter four examines the market failures in transportation except externalities, which are caused by market forces. This chapter will discuss practical cases of natural monopoly (railway sector) and oligopoly (aviation sector). The author not only attaches importance to identifying the fundamental economic causes of market power, but also attaches importance to deducing the meaning of economic policies. In view of this, practical policies in these markets are evaluated, such as a brief discussion on the experience of the Netherlands in railway policy and the experience of various countries in deregulation of the aviation market. Chapter 5 makes an empirical study, discusses the empirical method of economic valuation of goods without observable market price, taking travel time as an example. Chapter 6 discusses the cost-benefit analysis method, an important technology adopted by the government to evaluate the feasibility of potential investment projects. Although this method seems simple, there are many pitfalls in the implementation process. Economists should pay attention to this point in practical application. Chapter 7 discusses the development of behavioral economics and its application in the field of transportation, analyzes the possible deviations in people's travel behavior, and discusses how to apply behavioral economics theory to the formulation of transportation policies.

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    作者简介
    〔荷〕伊瑞克·维尔赫夫(ErikVerhoef):阿姆斯特丹自由大学经济与工商管理学院教授、博士生导师、空间经济系主任,荷兰丁伯根经济研究所研究员。主要研究内容涉及交通拥堵、静态和动态网络分析、城市外部性、次优调节、空间外部性及其调控的效率和公平性、空间均衡模型、政策评估、运输经济学、城市经济学等。他在REPEC全球经济学家整体排名中位列前3%,在Transportmetrica A: Transport Science,Transportation Research Part A、B、C、E,Journal of Public Economics, Journal of Transport-Economics and Policy, Journal of Urban Economic 等期刊发表相关论文171篇,谷歌学术H指数达到52。担任Economics of Transportation 杂志联合主编、Journal of Urban Economics 编委会成员、Networks and Spatial Economics 副主编、Journal of Regional Science 副主编。
    王雅璨:北京交通大学经济与管理学院教授、博士生导师,北京交通大学运输经济理论与政策研究中心副主任。主要研究领域为城市可持续交通与出行选择、绿色出行、交通需求政策的行为诱导等。在国际重要学术期刊和国际会议上发表论文80余篇,出版专著8部。发表SSCI/SCI检索论文20余篇(其中JCR1-2区论文16篇,ESI高被引论文1篇)。先后主持和参与国家自然科学基金重大项目、国家自然科学基金国际合作项目等多个国家级和省部级项目。担任SSCI期刊 International Journal of Logistics Management高级副主编、Transportation Research Part F: Traffic Behavior and Psychology 和 Business Strategy and the Environment 编委、Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Review 、Transport Policy 等8个SSCI期刊的客座主编。
    胡雅梅:
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