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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
蔡 昉
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李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    2011年我国房地产投资市场回顾与2012年展望

    摘要

    2011年我国宏观经济增长放缓;房地产市场受严厉政策调控,成交量萎缩,成交价格下跌;商业地产短期结构性需求旺盛,长期发展平稳。房地产市场整体景气程度下降,土地交易冷清;开发投资增速放缓,开发资金依赖自筹;房屋新开工面积增速回落,商品房销售减速;二手房成交量萎缩;办公楼销售加速、租金再创新高。办公楼市场具有明显区域特征,一线城市普遍快速上涨。2012年房地产总体下行趋势将延续,商业地产短期上升可期,长期增长平稳。投资商业地产的过程中应关注四类风险。 <<
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    Abstract

    In 2011 China's economic growth slowed down, and the risk of the economic operation increased. The real estate market was subject to stringent regulation and control policies, resulting in the fall of both volume and prices. Strong demands for commercial real estate will continue in the short term. Judging from current situation, commercial real estate will maintain long-term development. The real estate market became less active, and land turnover rate decreased. The base of real estate investment is high, so the room for growth is limited. Financing relied on the enterprise itself. The growth of new housing construction declined, and the growth of sales fell. The volume of second-hand housing reduced. Office sales accelerated, and rent increased, especially in first-tier cities. The downward trend of real estate industry will continue in 2012, and investment opportunities exist in commercial real estate area. Yet it is suggested to pay attention to four types of risks. <<
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    作者简介
    高文志:博士,中国建银投资有限责任公司研究中心宏观经济组负责人,长期从事宏观经济研究工作
    熊鸿儒:
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