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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
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李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    当前中国青年离婚率变动趋势分析报告

    摘要

    通过对离婚率和青年离婚人口的全国性统计数据的梳理和比较,本报告研究发现,自改革开放以来,在全国离婚率整体大幅攀升的背景下,当前中国青年人的离婚风险也总体有所上升。但是,从离婚人口的分年龄比重看,青年人并非离婚人口的主力军,反而在离婚总人口中的占比有所下降。过去20年中,农村地区青年离婚人口占比上升幅度显著,但城市地区由于初婚年龄不断推迟,青年离婚人口占比不升反降。在影响因素方面,本报告结合2019年全国青年婚恋状况调查数据,从文化观念、人口流动、社会政策、媒体传播和性别角色变化五个方面分析了离婚率不断攀升的原因。在对策建议方面,本报告着重讨论了法律制度、公共服务政策该如何保护婚姻制度、增进婚姻的稳定性,并对如何加强青年的婚姻教育和服务提出了具体建议。

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    Abstract

    Based on the analysis and comparison of nationwide statistical data regarding divorce rate and young divorce population,this article has the following findings:since reform and opening up,the national divorce rate has generally increased to a great extent;under this context,the divorce risk among contemporary Chinese youth has somewhat increased on the whole. However,according to the proportion of different age among divorce population,the young people are not the main force of divorce population actually. On the contrary,the proportion of young divorce population in the whole divorce population has somewhat decreased to some extent. During the past twenty years,the proportion of young divorce population in rural areas has increased significantly;while in urban areas,the proportion of young divorce population has decreased due to the constant delay of age of first marriage. Regarding the influencing factors,this article tries to combine the survey data from “2019 National Youth’s View of Marriage and Love” together,and analyze the reason for constant increase in divorce rate from five aspects,namely cultural idea,population mobility,social policy,media communication and change of gender roles. Regarding the countermeasures and suggestions,this article emphatically discusses how law system and policy for public service should protect marriage system and improve marriage stability;meanwhile,this article also proposes some concrete suggestions on how to strengthen marriage education and service towards young people.

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    作者简介
    刘汶蓉:刘汶蓉,上海社会科学院社会学研究所副研究员。
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