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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
蔡 昉
    中国社会科学院国家高端智库首席专家,学部委员,学部主席团秘书长,研究员,博士生导师。先后毕业于中国人民大学、中国... 详情>>
李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    夯实居民收入基础 打开效率之门

    摘要

    中国经济发展整体走势良好,2020年初受新冠肺炎疫情的影响,经济增速出现了下滑,中国经济发展面临新的挑战。从居民收入角度分析中国经济的结构性短板,发现发达国家和陷入“中等收入陷阱”的几个国家在其发展历史上都曾经历10~20年的双位数增长,但最终结果迥异。分析其高速发展期间生产要素与GDP的关系,可以看到经济增长主要来源于人口持续增长、消费稳健、科技产出强劲、服务业发展。而我国现阶段人均可支配收入增速偏低,制约了经济发展。对比中外经济发展的进程后,本文提出经济发展存在效率洼地。补齐效率洼地将助推经济发展快速向好。

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    Abstract

    the overall trend of China’s economic development is good. At the beginning of 2020,affected by the new crown epidemic,China’s economy declined,posing new challenges to China’s economic development. Starting from the income of residents,this paper analyzes the structural weakness of China’s economy,and finds that both the developed countries and several countries trapped in the middle-income trap have experienced 10-20 years of double-digit growth in their development history,but the final results are quite different. By analyzing the relationship between factors of production and GDP in the period of rapid development,we can see that economic growth mainly comes from the sustained growth of population,steady consumption,strong output of science and technology,and service industry. At present,the growth rate of per capita disposable income is weak,which restricts the economic development. Compared with the process of economic development at home and abroad,the paper points out that there are efficiency depressions in economic development. Replenishing the low-lying areas of efficiency will boost the economy to a higher speed.

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