本书的研究重点是煤炭产量的增长极限,而罗马俱乐部的研究报告《增长的极限》所提出的“增长极限理论”是本书重要的理论基础。“增长极限理论”对世界经济发展提出了悲观的预期,而我们在研究世界化石能源的供给问题以及中国的煤炭供给问题时,形势已经不容乐观。而200多年前马尔萨斯的人口理论也是一个对世界未来提出悲观预期的理论,其与增长极限理论具有某种程度的同质性,也在预示着未来增长的极限。因此,我们从马尔萨斯的人口理论开始回顾与评析。
<<The research focus of this book is the growth limit of coal production, and the "growth limit theory" proposed in the Research Report "growth limit" of the club of Rome "is an important theoretical basis of this book. "Growth limit theory" has put forward pessimistic expectations for the development of the world economy, but when we study the supply of fossil energy in the world and the supply of coal in China, the situation is not optimistic. Malthus's theory of population more than 200 years ago is also a theory of pessimistic expectations for the future of the world. It has a certain degree of homogeneity with the theory of growth limit, and also indicates the future growth limit. Therefore, we review and comment on Malthus's population theory.
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