目前全国、东中西区域及各省份通过城镇化驱动潜在经济增长的战略总体上说是可行并且有效的。但是,由于我国及各区域城镇化水平的滞后性和不均衡性,现行总需求处在中低收入阶段的成长期,大力推进城镇化进程,特别是提升欠发达区域及省份的城镇化水平将是提高总需求最有效的工具,对以潜在经济增长为核心的供给侧改革作用显著。2016年以后的潜在经济增长还会有小幅波动,但随着新型城镇化和城市群吸引力的加大,及户籍制度、农村土地流转政策的推进等,城镇化将推进中国、各区域及省份潜在经济增长曲线的向外平行移动。本书试图在整理前面结果的基础上,提出几个可改进的方面。
<<At present, the strategy of driving potential economic growth through urbanization in the whole country, the East, the West and the provinces is feasible and effective on the whole. However, due to the lag and imbalance of urbanization level in China and other regions, the current total demand is in the growth period of low-income stage. Vigorously promoting the urbanization process, especially the urbanization level of underdeveloped regions and provinces, will be the most effective tool to improve the total demand, and play a significant role in the supply side reform with potential economic growth as the core. The potential economic growth will fluctuate slightly after 2016. However, with the new urbanization and the increasing attraction of urban agglomerations, as well as the promotion of household registration system and rural land circulation policy, urbanization will promote the outward horizontal movement of potential economic growth curve of China, regions and provinces. This book attempts to put forward several aspects that can be improved on the basis of sorting out the previous results.
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