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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
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李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    2019年房地产市场回顾与2020年展望

    摘要

    2019年,中央强调房地产的“房住不炒”定位,并重点防范化解房地产领域的金融风险,全年基本实现了房价的稳定。2019年,全国开工面积正增长,销售面积增速由负转正;但调控导致房地产企业资金紧张,库存高企导致市场竞争加剧,房地产企业破产数大增。展望2020年,政府将继续通过“因城施策”稳定市场预期,鼓励城市更新和发展租赁业务;行业马太效应加剧,市场集中度提升;租售并举推动类REITs业务发展;城市间竞争加剧;房地产企业将深耕相关多元化业务,努力寻找新业态。 <<
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    Abstract

    In 2019,the central government emphasized the positioning of “real estate without speculation”,and focused on preventing financial risks in the real estate sector,which basically achieved the stability of house prices throughout the year. In 2019,the construction area in China increased positively,and the sales area increased from negative to positive;however,the regulation and control led to a shortage of funds in real estate enterprises;high inventory enterprises led to intensified market competition and a large increase in the number of bankruptcies. Looking forward to 2020,the government will continue to stabilize the market expectation through “implementing policies for the city”,encourage the city to renew and develop the leasing business. The Matthew effect of the industry will improve the market concentration. It will promote the development of REITs business by leasing and selling simultaneously. The competition between cities will intensify. Real estate enterprises will deepen the related diversified business,and strive to find new business forms.

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    作者简介
    王申:博士,中国建投投资研究院研究员
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