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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
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李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    中美贸易摩擦对产业和投资的影响分析(2019~2020)

    摘要

    中美贸易摩擦的直接原因是美国的巨额赤字,深层次原因是美国想阻止中国的产业升级。贸易摩擦对双边贸易产生了负面影响,并扰乱了全球产业链。2019年底,中美宣布将达成第一阶段贸易协议,显示中美贸易冲突开始好转。中短期来看,市场的风险偏好有所回升,市场信心有所增强,对于投资与消费的意愿增强,有利于中国经济的企稳。 <<
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    Abstract

    The direct cause of trade friction between China and the United States is the huge deficit of the United States. And the deep reason is that the United States wants to prevent China’s industrial upgrading. Trade friction has a negative impact on bilateral trade and disrupts the global industrial chain. By the end of 2019,China and the United States announced that they would reach the first stage of trade agreement,which shows that the trade conflict between China and the United States has begun to ease. In the short and medium term,the risk appetite of the market has picked up,the market confidence has increased,and the willingness to invest and consume has increased,which is conducive to the stabilization of China’s economy.

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    作者简介
    王申:博士,中国建投投资研究院研究员
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