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    2019~2020年河南省石油行业发展形势分析与展望

    摘要

    2019年,受省内资源禀赋和开采成本较高的影响,河南原油生产量继续下降;城乡公共交通系统基础设施不断完善,社会出行需求保持增长等因素促进成品油消费继续增长;“外引多元”战略的实施有效保障了油品供应,全年油品供需总体平稳。随着新建炼化产能的释放以及储运体系的建设,预计2020年河南成品油供需整体进一步宽松。为保障油品安全高效供应,应加快重大基础设施建设进度,加强省内原油和页岩油勘探开发力度,推动石油化工与盐化工、煤化工融合发展,探索实现炼油转化工的转型升级路径。

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    Abstract

    In 2019,affected by resource endowment and high mining cost,Henan crude oil production continued to decline. The consumption of refined oil continued to grow,which was promoted by improvement of the urban and rural public transportation infrastructure and growing of the social travel demand. The implement of the strategy of “diversification of external introduction” effectively ensured the oil supply,and the oil supply and the demand were generally stable throughout the year. Considering the lower international oil prices,released refining capacity due to policy bonus,and gradually opening of refined oil products market,the overall supply and demand of refined oil would be further loosened in 2020. In order to guarantee the safe and efficient supply of petroleum,it is necessary to accelerate the construction of major infrastructure,strengthen the exploration and development of crude oil and shale oil in the province,promote the integrated development of petrochemical industry,salt chemical industry and coal chemical industry,and explore the transformation and upgrading path of refining to chemical industry.

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    作者简介
    刘军会:刘军会,工学硕士,国网河南省电力公司经济技术研究院工程师,研究方向为能源经济与电力市场。
    李虎军:李虎军,工学硕士,国网河南省电力公司经济技术研究院高级工程师,研究方向为能源电力供需与电网规划。
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