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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
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李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    2019年农业对外开放形势及2020年展望

    摘要

    2019年中国农产品贸易逆差继续扩大,作为传统优势出口产品蔬菜顺差小幅上涨,水产品顺差大幅下降,水果逆差自2018年首次出现后继续扩大。居民食物消费结构升级带来的需求增长和受非洲猪瘟疫情影响国内生猪的产能下降皆推动贸易逆差的扩大。在农业国际合作方面,受全球经济增长放缓及保守主义带来的国际投资增长趋缓影响,2019年中国农业双向投资较上年有所下降;农业科技合作则在诸多领域有新的进展,在中国农产品贸易增长、“一带一路”发展的大背景下,未来农业科技合作必然会呈现更多突破。

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    Abstract

    In 2019,China’s trade deficit of agricultural products continued to increase. For agricultural products with traditional export advantage,the surplus of vegetables rose slightly,the surplus of aquatic products fell sharply,while the deficit of fruit continued to grow after it first appeared in 2018. The widening trade deficit has been driven by increasing demand from the upgrading of household food consumption structure and a decline in domestic pig production due to the outbreak of “African swine fever”. In terms of international cooperation in agriculture,due to the slowdown in international investment caused by the global economic slowdown and conservatism,China’s two-way investment in agriculture declined in 2019 compared with the previous year. At the same time,agricultural science and technology cooperation has made new progress in many fields,which is bound to make more breakthroughs in the future in the context of the growth of China’s agricultural products trade and the development of the Belt and Road.

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    作者简介
    胡冰川:胡冰川,管理学博士,中国社会科学院农村发展研究所研究员,研究方向为农产品贸易、农产品市场政策的数量评估。
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