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    印度尼西亚:经济稳中有增,政治日趋稳定

    摘要

    本文主要从政治形势、经济发展、社会与文化及中印尼关系几方面对2018年的印度尼西亚进行了回顾。政治方面,印尼在2018年完成了全国地方首长同步选举,为2019年大选预测风向。经济方面,2018年的印尼经济总体上稳中有进。但受到全球经济市场的影响,产生了较大的贸易逆差,并经历了印尼盾的大幅度贬值。在经济政策上,印尼在2018年推出了“印尼工业4。0”计划,虽面临重重阻碍,但继续致力于推进基础设施建设和改善投资环境。社会文化方面,第18届亚运会在印尼顺利召开,为印尼的经济发展和公共外交提供了平台。同时,印尼加大了反恐力度,推出了新的反恐法令并允许军方参与反恐行动。中印尼关系方面,两国之间的政治安全、经济贸易和社会人文三驾马车日益协调和稳健。2019年印尼迎来国会和总统选举,选举结果关乎印尼是否继续走包容多元的道路。

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    Abstract

    This report mainly reviewed Indonesia’s political,economical,social and cultural condition as well as its relationship with China during 2018. In political field,local election,which is seen to be forecast of general election in 2019,was finished. Meanwhile,the warm-up of general election has started. Social media and identity politics are two noticeable factors in these events. In economic area,Indonesia witnessed slow but steady progress. Nevertheless,influenced by depressed global market,there were considerable trade deficit and currency devaluation. For economic policy,Indonesia put forward “Making Indonesia 4.0” plan and continue its infrastructure construction and improvement of investment environment. As to social and cultural fields,the 18th Asian Games was held successfully in Indonesia,which provided great platform to its economic growth and public diplomacy. In addition,Indonesia put more strength on anti-terrorism. Related law has been revised and military is allowed to participate in certain conditions. During 2018,the relationship between Indonesia and China went well in areas of political security,economy and trade and social and cultural communication. In 2019,Indonesia will face its general election,the result of which may decide whether Indonesia will continue its way of diversity.

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    作者简介
    许利平:许利平,博士,中国社会科学院亚太与全球战略研究院东南亚研究中心主任,研究员。
    娜敏:娜敏,中国社会科学院研究生院亚洲太平洋研究系2016级博士研究生。
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