生态优先、绿色发展是长江经济带污染密集型产业发展的主基调。本报告将污染密集型产业界定为12类工业行业,根据2003~2016年长江经济带沿线11省市污染密集型产业数据,采用基尼系数、泰尔指数、产业集中度、标准差椭圆方法、DEA-SBM模型和STIRPAT模型,研判污染密集型产业发展的时空特征、生态效率及其影响因素。研究结果显示:长江经济带污染密集型产业规模呈先上升后平稳的态势,主要集聚在下游地区,发展重心随着时间的变化向中上游地区转移;长江经济带污染密集型产业生态效率保持上升趋势,地区差异性显著,下游地区水平较高,中游地区次之但增长迅速,上游地区最低;政府管制型环境规制、城镇化率、创新水平、产业结构对长江经济带污染密集型产业生态效率具有正向作用,民众自愿型环境规制、人均GDP、能源强度具有负向作用。
<<Ecological priority and green development are the main keynotes for the development of pollution-intensive industries in the Yangtze River Economic Belt. This report defines 12 pollution-intensive industries through scientific methods,and is based on the data of pollution-intensive industries in the provinces and provinces of the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 2003 to 2016. The Gini coefficient,the Thail index,the industrial concentration index,the standard deviation ellipse method,DEA-SBM model and STIRPAT model are used to study the spatial and temporal characteristics,ecological efficiency and influencing factors of pollution-intensive industry development. The study found that the scale of pollution-intensive industries in the Yangtze River Economic Belt has risen first and then stabilized. The pollution-intensive industries are mainly concentrated in the downstream areas,and the focus of the development of pollution-intensive industries is shifting to the middle and upper reaches over time. The ecological efficiency of pollution-intensive industries in the Yangtze River Economic Belt has been rising and has regional heterogeneity:the level in the lower reaches is higher,followed by the middle reaches,but the lowest in the upper reaches. The ecological efficiency of pollution-intensive industries in the Yangtze River Economic Belt is affected by diversification factors:government-regulated environmental regulations,towns The rate of transformation,the level of innovation,and the industrial structure have positive effects. The voluntary environmental regulation,per capita GDP,and energy intensity have a negative effect.
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