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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
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李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    中亚:寻求创新合作新动力

    摘要

    2019年中亚地区继续保持基本稳定的发展态势,中亚国家在国际格局深刻演变的大背景下积极寻求创新合作新动力。但是,中亚国家长期积累的问题并没有得到有效解决。中亚国家政治稳定问题再次凸显。哈萨克斯坦首任总统从“台前走到幕后”,政权过渡期的国内政治稳定问题值得关注;吉尔吉斯斯坦两任总统间矛盾引发的政治动荡以“拘捕”前总统暂告一段落。中亚国家出台一系列保民生、促发展的经济政策,各国间经济联系进一步密切,但受全球经济增长全面放缓的影响,国内多年积累的经济问题得不到有效解决,经济下行压力没有减缓,债务风险上升。阿富汗武装分子越境袭击塔吉克斯坦边防哨所事件再次表明,中亚安全形势不容乐观。从美国对乌兹别克斯坦有意加入欧亚经济联盟的态度看,大国在中亚的博弈更趋激烈。

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    Abstract

    In 2019,the trend of situation in Central Asia continues is basically stable,and the countries of Central Asian are actively seeking new motivation for innovation and cooperation under the evolving international system. However,the problems in Central Asian Countries which long-term accumulationd have not been effectively resolved. The issue of political stability in Central Asian countries is highlighted again. The first president of Kazakhstan went from “before the stage to behind the scenes”;the political turmoil triggered by the conflict between the two presidents of Kyrgyzstan. The issue of domestic political stability during the transition period of the regime deserves attention. For promoting development,the Central Asian countries have promulgated a series of economic policies,and the economic ties among the countries have been further closer. However,the downward pressure in Central Asian countries on economy unchanged. Afghanistan’s impact on Central Asian security is growing. The U.S. new Central Asia strategy will make the great power game in Central Asia more intense.

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    作者简介
    孙力:孙力,中国社会科学院俄罗斯东欧中亚研究所副所长、研究员。
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