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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
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李培林
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    2018年巴西经济展现稳步复苏态势

    摘要

    2018年,全球第八大经济体巴西展现出一种经济稳步复苏的态势。继2017年“触底反弹”后,2018年GDP实现1。3%的增长,通胀率低于预期目标,对外贸易增长强劲,外国直接投资增多,经济开始步入正常的增长轨道。但受5月卡车司机大罢工、10月大选等因素的影响,巴西经济复苏步伐仍显减缓,远未从2015~2016年严重的经济衰退中恢复过来,尤其2018年第四季度各项经济指数恶化,表明国际资本对新总统博索纳罗上台后的巴西经济前景并不乐观。因此,如何提振巴西经济、加快复苏步伐,是摆在博索纳罗新政府面前重要的现实难题。

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    Abstract

    In 2018,Brazil,the world’s eighth largest economy,showed a steady economic recovery. Following the “bottoming rebound” in 2017,GDP grew by 1.3% in 2018,inflation was lower than expected,foreign trade grew strongly,foreign direct investment increased,and the economy began to move on a normal growth track. However,due to factors such as the May strike of truck drivers and the general election in October,the pace of economic recovery in Brazil was still slow,far from recovering from the severe economic recession of 2015-2016,especially the economic indexes in the fourth quarter of 2018 had become deteriorate,this trend shows that international capital is not optimistic about the prospects of Brazil’s economy after the new President Bolsonaro took office. Therefore,how to boost the Brazilian economy and accelerate the pace of recovery is an important practical problem facing the new government of Bolsonaro.

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    作者简介
    吴洪英:吴洪英,中国现代国际关系研究院院长特别助理、研究员、博士生导师。
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