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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
蔡 昉
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李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    2018~2019年广西壮族自治区经济社会发展形势分析与对策建议

    摘要

    2018年以来,广西经济呈现“一季度平稳开局、二季度急速回落、下半年有所回升”的“U”形走势,全年经济同比增长6。8%,部分指标表现良好,经济结构逐步优化,质量效益持续提升。展望2019年,面对复杂严峻的外部环境和相对低迷的市场需求,预计广西经济增速仍将呈现放缓趋势,下行压力不会出现较大缓解,存在着旧动能转型升级难度大、新动能培育仍有待增强、投资增长制约因素较多、外贸增长不确定等突出问题,预计2019年广西经济增长6。5%左右。

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    Abstract

    Since 2018,Guangxi’s economy has shown a “U” trend of “a steady start in the first quarter,a rapid decline in the second quarter,and a recovery in the second half of the year.” Guangxi’s year on year economic growth of 6.8%,some indicators performed well,the economic structure was gradually optimized,and the quality and efficiency continued to improve. Looking forward to 2019,in the face of complex and severe external environment and relatively depressed market demand,it is expected that the economic growth rate of Guangxi will still slow down,the downward pressure will not be relieved. And there will be outstanding problems,such as the transformation and upgrading of old kinetic energy is difficult,the cultivation of new kinetic energy still needs to be strengthened,many restrictive factors for investment growth,and the uncertainty of foreign trade growth is strong. It is expected that the economic growth rate in 2019 will be about 6.5%.

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    作者简介
    吕余生:吕余生,广西社会科学院原院长、二级研究员。
    陈禹静:陈禹静,广西社会科学院工业经济研究所副所长、副研究员。
    张卫华:张卫华,广西宏观经济研究院经济研究所副所长、高级经济师。
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